YEARLY HIGH
34.3661 DJF
YEARLY LOW
27.7158 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.3715 DJF

2019 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 34.3661. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 27.7158.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6503 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.0426 to the December average rate of 30.3944, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 34.3661 was down 28.22% compared to the 2018 peak of 47.8757, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,718,307 DJF
2018 Average 1,893,887 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 1,385,790 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 332,517.06 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

34.1821
29.0588
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.7016, compared to 31.0413 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6603 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.7016
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.0413

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 6.6503 DJF (High: 34.3661 / Low: 27.7158). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4481 DJF (High: 31.2451 / Low: 30.7970).

January Spread (Volatile) ±6.6503
November Spread (Stable) ±0.4481

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6342 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6342

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 33.0426) against the same month in 2018 (average: 47.3880), the exchange rate shifted by -14.3454 (-30.27%).

2019 Avg (January) 33.0426
2018 Avg (January) 47.3880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 34.3661 27.7158 33.0426
February 34.2291 33.3150 33.7552
March 33.1840 30.8866 32.4728
April 32.2690 29.8371 30.8386
May 30.4792 28.8883 29.4857
June 31.1193 30.1287 30.6147
July 32.0220 31.0009 31.3963
August 32.4564 30.5246 31.5325
September 31.5140 30.5017 31.1761
October 31.2930 30.0206 30.7345
November 31.2451 30.7970 31.0142
December 30.9992 29.9155 30.3944