YEARLY HIGH
2.8552 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.2550 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6533 MOP

2016 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 2.8552. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 2.2550.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6002 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6711 to the December average rate of 2.2820, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.8552 was down 18.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.5000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 142,761 MOP
2015 Average 147,323 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 112,752 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,008.92 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.8708
2.2284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7406, compared to 2.5659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7406
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2532 MOP (High: 2.5663 / Low: 2.3131). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0584 MOP (High: 2.8552 / Low: 2.7969).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2532
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0584

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1720 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1720

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 2.8173) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.0048), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1875 (-6.24%).

2016 Avg (April) 2.8173
2015 Avg (April) 3.0048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.7440 2.6315 2.6711
February 2.7487 2.6835 2.7217
March 2.8313 2.7220 2.7726
April 2.8552 2.7969 2.8173
May 2.8541 2.6740 2.7184
June 2.8000 2.7170 2.7425
July 2.7679 2.6010 2.6916
August 2.7318 2.6535 2.6989
September 2.7247 2.6633 2.6930
October 2.6614 2.5636 2.6009
November 2.5663 2.3131 2.4290
December 2.3396 2.2550 2.2820