YEARLY HIGH
7.9279 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.8569 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8076 RSD

2022 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 7.9279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 5.8569.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0710 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.6762 to the December average rate of 5.9387, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 7.9279 was down 43.29% compared to the 2021 peak of 13.9803, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 396,396 RSD
2021 Average 574,061 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 292,847 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 103,548.65 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

7.8500
5.7649
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2779, compared to 6.3374 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9406 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2779
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3374

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.8790 RSD (High: 7.5331 / Low: 6.6541). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1580 RSD (High: 6.0149 / Low: 5.8569).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.8790
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1580

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2022. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.5753 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5753

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 7.6762) against the same month in 2021 (average: 13.0788), the exchange rate shifted by -5.4025 (-41.31%).

2022 Avg (January) 7.6762
2021 Avg (January) 13.0788

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9279 7.4595 7.6762
February 7.7935 7.4179 7.5973
March 7.6085 7.1884 7.3167
April 7.5708 7.2597 7.3988
May 7.5331 6.6541 7.1269
June 6.7730 6.3748 6.5516
July 6.7708 6.3995 6.5994
August 6.5223 6.3346 6.4319
September 6.6270 6.3548 6.4669
October 6.5108 6.2442 6.4185
November 6.4620 6.0390 6.1689
December 6.0149 5.8569 5.9387