YEARLY HIGH
5453.7586 STD
YEARLY LOW
3028.2297 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4389.6862 STD

2018 TRY to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 5453.7586. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 3028.2297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2425.5288 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5354.9882 to the December average rate of 3964.0895, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5453.7586 was down 17.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 6606.1364, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 272,687,928 STD
2017 Average 298,286,510 STD
Yearly Trough Low 151,411,486 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 121,276,441.88 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5556.8247
3134.7868
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4973.0205, compared to 3806.3519 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1166.6686 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4973.0205
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3806.3519

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1189.8270 STD (High: 4218.0568 / Low: 3028.2297). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 68.6843 STD (High: 5272.1630 / Low: 5203.4787).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1189.8270
February Spread (Stable) ±68.6843

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 825.4887 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -825.4887

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5354.9882) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6172.1223), the exchange rate shifted by -817.1341 (-13.24%).

2018 Avg (January) 5354.9882
2017 Avg (January) 6172.1223

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5453.7586 5226.5150 5354.9882
February 5272.1630 5203.4787 5244.2109
March 5243.3887 4960.2465 5110.3467
April 5031.3768 4793.9110 4908.1693
May 4957.3501 4392.5066 4682.4292
June 4656.9607 4434.6886 4537.9784
July 4585.8454 4268.6505 4401.0115
August 4218.0568 3028.2297 3575.5227
September 3502.8777 3160.0010 3336.6233
October 3846.9811 3416.1504 3633.0337
November 4072.1443 3810.2357 3927.8308
December 4050.1371 3906.4686 3964.0895