YEARLY HIGH
199.0474 UGX
YEARLY LOW
127.9073 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
161.4754 UGX

2023 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 199.0474. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 127.9073.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 71.1401 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 196.5732 to the December average rate of 129.9600, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 199.0474 was down 26.69% compared to the 2022 peak of 271.4977, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,952,370 UGX
2022 Average 11,252,064 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,395,367 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,557,002.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

203.3402
123.2891
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 187.9752, compared to 134.9755 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 52.9997 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 187.9752
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 134.9755

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 38.7139 UGX (High: 179.4017 / Low: 140.6878). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7411 UGX (High: 139.5047 / Low: 136.7636).

June Spread (Volatile) ±38.7139
September Spread (Stable) ±2.7411

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 31.5079 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -31.5079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 196.5732) against the same month in 2022 (average: 260.8466), the exchange rate shifted by -64.2733 (-24.64%).

2023 Avg (January) 196.5732
2022 Avg (January) 260.8466

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 199.0474 194.5195 196.5732
February 197.5320 193.4669 195.5991
March 198.3801 194.2398 196.6692
April 196.7709 191.6466 193.5061
May 191.7262 181.3973 188.5058
June 179.4017 140.6878 156.9979
July 142.3118 133.6935 138.3319
August 143.1784 132.4639 136.7672
September 139.5047 136.7636 138.4248
October 137.1090 133.1034 134.5660
November 133.5688 130.7561 131.8032
December 131.6250 127.9073 129.9600