YEARLY HIGH
4.5836 NPR
YEARLY LOW
4.1078 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3345 NPR

2021 UAH to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UAH to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 4.5836. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 4.1078.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4758 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1457 to the December average rate of 4.4285, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.5836 was down 5.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.8558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,918 NPR
2020 Average 22,014 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 20,539 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,379.06 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.5842
4.1058
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2218, compared to 4.4472 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2254 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2218
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4472

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1759 NPR (High: 4.5704 / Low: 4.3946). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 NPR (High: 4.2697 / Low: 4.2174).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1759
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0680 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0680

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 4.5444) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.1518), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3925 (+9.45%).

2021 Avg (October) 4.5444
2020 Avg (October) 4.1518

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1845 4.1078 4.1457
February 4.2136 4.1395 4.1707
March 4.2223 4.1407 4.1846
April 4.3040 4.1805 4.2610
May 4.2697 4.2174 4.2444
June 4.3700 4.2518 4.3244
July 4.4315 4.3398 4.3818
August 4.4645 4.3355 4.4299
September 4.4627 4.3267 4.4020
October 4.5836 4.4544 4.5444
November 4.5704 4.3946 4.4965
December 4.5035 4.3607 4.4285