YEARLY HIGH
138.2497 UGX
YEARLY LOW
127.8107 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
131.5143 UGX

2021 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 19, valuing the pair at 138.2497. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 127.8107.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.4390 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 130.8159 to the December average rate of 130.6229, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 138.2497 was down 11.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 156.3419, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 691,249 UGX
2020 Average 690,751 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 639,054 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 52,195.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

136.4099
128.0396
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 130.4755, compared to 132.5531 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0776 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 130.4755
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 132.5531

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 5.3305 UGX (High: 138.2497 / Low: 132.9192). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4148 UGX (High: 132.6408 / Low: 131.2259).

October Spread (Volatile) ±5.3305
August Spread (Stable) ±1.4148

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.5521 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5521

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 135.7124) against the same month in 2020 (average: 131.2046), the exchange rate shifted by +4.5078 (+3.44%).

2021 Avg (October) 135.7124
2020 Avg (October) 131.2046

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 132.5104 128.3663 130.8159
February 132.5231 130.9683 131.5232
March 132.5864 130.7142 131.7500
April 131.5873 128.6351 129.9517
May 129.9849 127.8107 128.7371
June 130.9117 129.2750 130.0751
July 132.3553 129.5325 130.6051
August 132.6408 131.2259 132.1296
September 133.7663 130.8327 132.0737
October 138.2497 132.9192 135.7124
November 136.1178 131.0182 134.1750
December 132.2525 129.8747 130.6229