YEARLY HIGH
0.0243 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.0228 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0237 BDT

2021 UGX to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 15, valuing the pair at 0.0243. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.0228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0015 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0230 to the December average rate of 0.0241, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0243 was up 4.50% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0233, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 122 BDT
2020 Average 114 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 114 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.42 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0243
0.0229
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0234, compared to 0.0240 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0234
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0240

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0006 BDT (High: 0.0237 / Low: 0.0231). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 BDT (High: 0.0232 / Low: 0.0231).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0006
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 0.0241) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0229), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0013 (+5.62%).

2021 Avg (November) 0.0241
2020 Avg (November) 0.0229

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0232 0.0228 0.0230
February 0.0232 0.0230 0.0231
March 0.0232 0.0231 0.0231
April 0.0237 0.0231 0.0234
May 0.0240 0.0236 0.0239
June 0.0241 0.0238 0.0239
July 0.0240 0.0238 0.0239
August 0.0242 0.0239 0.0240
September 0.0243 0.0241 0.0242
October 0.0242 0.0236 0.0239
November 0.0243 0.0240 0.0241
December 0.0242 0.0240 0.0241