YEARLY HIGH
4.1073 IDR
YEARLY LOW
3.7511 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9896 IDR

2021 UGX to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 4.1073. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 3.7511.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3563 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8093 to the December average rate of 4.0293, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.1073 was down 6.78% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.4062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,537 IDR
2020 Average 19,561 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 18,755 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,781.26 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.1122
3.7818
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9447, compared to 4.0346 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0899 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9447
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0346

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.1573 IDR (High: 4.0427 / Low: 3.8854). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0350 IDR (High: 4.0598 / Low: 4.0247).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1573
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0350

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0724 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0724

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 4.0847) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.9218), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1629 (+4.15%).

2021 Avg (July) 4.0847
2020 Avg (July) 3.9218

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8886 3.7511 3.8093
February 3.9126 3.7993 3.8333
March 3.9760 3.8883 3.9307
April 4.0588 3.9559 4.0098
May 4.0755 3.9735 4.0289
June 4.1036 4.0174 4.0559
July 4.1073 4.0609 4.0847
August 4.1022 4.0348 4.0662
September 4.0598 4.0247 4.0400
October 4.0427 3.8854 3.9676
November 4.0560 3.9684 4.0197
December 4.0769 4.0000 4.0293