YEARLY HIGH
5.8138 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1077 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1278 KMF

2018 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 5, valuing the pair at 5.8138. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 0.1077.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7061 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1109 to the December average rate of 0.1165, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8138 was up 4347.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1307, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,069 KMF
2017 Average 603 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 539 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,530.51 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3254
0.0889
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1100, compared to 0.1456 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0356 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1100
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1456

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 5.6995 KMF (High: 5.8138 / Low: 0.1144). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 KMF (High: 0.1096 / Low: 0.1077).

November Spread (Volatile) ±5.6995
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1892 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1892

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.3057) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1154), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1903 (+164.98%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.3057
2017 Avg (November) 0.1154

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1133 0.1084 0.1109
February 0.1106 0.1085 0.1095
March 0.1107 0.1080 0.1092
April 0.1096 0.1077 0.1086
May 0.1129 0.1090 0.1115
June 0.1119 0.1083 0.1100
July 0.1141 0.1091 0.1122
August 0.1165 0.1130 0.1145
September 0.1132 0.1095 0.1112
October 0.1156 0.1113 0.1134
November 5.8138 0.1144 0.3057
December 0.1179 0.1155 0.1165