YEARLY HIGH
0.4343 LBP
YEARLY LOW
0.4078 LBP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4237 LBP

2021 UGX to LBP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to LBP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 26, valuing the pair at 0.4343. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.4078.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0265 LBP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4109 to the December average rate of 0.4273, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.4343 was down 3.32% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.4493, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,172 LBP
2020 Average 2,032 LBP
Yearly Trough Low 2,039 LBP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 132.45 LBP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.4323
0.4089
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LBP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4192, compared to 0.4281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0122 LBP (High: 0.4240 / Low: 0.4119). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 LBP (High: 0.4159 / Low: 0.4118).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0122
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0047 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0047

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2021: 0.4303) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4098), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0206 (+5.02%).

2021 Avg (September) 0.4303
2020 Avg (September) 0.4098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4157 0.4078 0.4109
February 0.4159 0.4118 0.4133
March 0.4179 0.4126 0.4152
April 0.4240 0.4119 0.4180
May 0.4320 0.4227 0.4281
June 0.4335 0.4253 0.4300
July 0.4327 0.4235 0.4282
August 0.4322 0.4256 0.4282
September 0.4343 0.4265 0.4303
October 0.4315 0.4194 0.4256
November 0.4342 0.4230 0.4290
December 0.4310 0.4234 0.4273