YEARLY HIGH
0.0297 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0262 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0278 RSD

2020 UGX to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 0.0297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.0262.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0035 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0288 to the December average rate of 0.0264, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0297 was up 1.52% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0293, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 149 RSD
2019 Average 142 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 131 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.70 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0296
0.0261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0286, compared to 0.0270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0286
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0016 RSD (High: 0.0289 / Low: 0.0273). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 RSD (High: 0.0265 / Low: 0.0262).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 0.0293) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0284), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0009 (+3.32%).

2020 Avg (February) 0.0293
2019 Avg (February) 0.0284

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0290 0.0283 0.0288
February 0.0297 0.0288 0.0293
March 0.0289 0.0273 0.0282
April 0.0289 0.0283 0.0286
May 0.0287 0.0280 0.0284
June 0.0282 0.0275 0.0280
July 0.0282 0.0269 0.0277
August 0.0273 0.0268 0.0270
September 0.0273 0.0268 0.0270
October 0.0271 0.0265 0.0269
November 0.0270 0.0265 0.0268
December 0.0265 0.0262 0.0264