YEARLY HIGH
0.0059 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0036 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0045 SCR

2021 UGX to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 0.0059. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 0.0036.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0023 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0058 to the December average rate of 0.0038, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0059 was up 0.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0058, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29 SCR
2020 Average 23 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 18 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11.39 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0060
0.0035
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0051, compared to 0.0039 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0051
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0039

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0018 SCR (High: 0.0057 / Low: 0.0038). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 SCR (High: 0.0059 / Low: 0.0057).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 0.0058) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0037), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0021 (+55.35%).

2021 Avg (February) 0.0058
2020 Avg (February) 0.0037

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0059 0.0057 0.0058
February 0.0059 0.0057 0.0058
March 0.0058 0.0056 0.0058
April 0.0057 0.0038 0.0046
May 0.0047 0.0041 0.0044
June 0.0047 0.0041 0.0044
July 0.0046 0.0038 0.0042
August 0.0043 0.0036 0.0039
September 0.0040 0.0036 0.0037
October 0.0042 0.0036 0.0039
November 0.0042 0.0036 0.0038
December 0.0042 0.0036 0.0038