YEARLY HIGH
0.0078 UAH
YEARLY LOW
0.0072 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0076 UAH

2021 UGX to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 0.0078. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 19, dropping to 0.0072.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0006 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0076 to the December average rate of 0.0077, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0078 was up 0.42% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0078, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39 UAH
2020 Average 36 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 36 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.95 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0078
0.0073
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0077, compared to 0.0075 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0077
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0075

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0003 UAH (High: 0.0075 / Low: 0.0072). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 UAH (High: 0.0076 / Low: 0.0075).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.0078) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0071), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+9.88%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.0078
2020 Avg (May) 0.0071

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0078 0.0075 0.0076
February 0.0076 0.0075 0.0076
March 0.0077 0.0075 0.0076
April 0.0078 0.0076 0.0077
May 0.0078 0.0077 0.0078
June 0.0077 0.0076 0.0077
July 0.0077 0.0076 0.0077
August 0.0076 0.0075 0.0076
September 0.0076 0.0075 0.0076
October 0.0075 0.0072 0.0074
November 0.0076 0.0073 0.0075
December 0.0077 0.0076 0.0077