YEARLY HIGH
113.5575 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.0004 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
108.7816 KES

2021 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 113.5575. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.0004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 113.5570 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 99.3028 to the December average rate of 112.9869, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 113.5575 was up 25284514.00% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0004, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 567,787 KES
2020 Average 2 KES
Yearly Trough Low 2 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 567,785.17 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

114.3553
97.9343
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 106.9849, compared to 110.5784 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.5935 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 106.9849
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 110.5784

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 110.3984 KES (High: 110.3989 / Low: 0.0004). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2415 KES (High: 107.9500 / Low: 107.7085).

January Spread (Volatile) ±110.3984
June Spread (Stable) ±0.2415

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.7111 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7111

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 112.9869) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0004), the exchange rate shifted by +112.9864 (+25407628.08%).

2021 Avg (December) 112.9869
2020 Avg (December) 0.0004

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 110.3989 0.0004 99.3028
February 110.1276 109.4000 109.6637
March 109.8545 109.4271 109.6903
April 108.9086 106.8048 107.9792
May 108.3400 106.5153 107.4562
June 107.9500 107.7085 107.8173
July 108.6104 107.7678 108.1438
August 109.8500 108.5900 109.3043
September 110.5091 109.8964 110.1587
October 111.2752 110.5000 110.8766
November 112.5572 111.2833 112.0000
December 113.5575 112.5328 112.9869