YEARLY HIGH
628.6780 UGX
YEARLY LOW
537.7071 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
583.3301 UGX

2012 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 628.6780. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 537.7071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 90.9709 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 561.6763 to the December average rate of 622.6717, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 628.6780 was down 6.42% compared to the 2011 peak of 671.7880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,143,390 UGX
2011 Average 2,938,249 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,688,535 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 454,854.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

630.5620
535.8779
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 570.3359, compared to 596.3242 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 25.9883 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 570.3359
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 596.3242

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 35.8427 UGX (High: 577.0930 / Low: 541.2503). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7821 UGX (High: 578.9067 / Low: 574.1246).

January Spread (Volatile) ±35.8427
July Spread (Stable) ±4.7821

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 17.9080 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -17.9080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 622.6717) against the same month in 2011 (average: 570.6866), the exchange rate shifted by +51.9850 (+9.11%).

2012 Avg (December) 622.6717
2011 Avg (December) 570.6866

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 577.0930 541.2503 561.6763
February 570.3690 537.7071 543.7683
March 596.5415 569.4792 577.8964
April 586.1119 577.6624 582.6721
May 584.6638 570.3920 577.1227
June 584.5302 574.4862 578.8797
July 578.9067 574.1246 576.4842
August 587.7123 576.9395 580.7584
September 596.1162 580.6976 586.2244
October 605.7431 593.2100 601.4801
November 627.8810 601.3843 610.3265
December 628.6780 617.3028 622.6717