YEARLY HIGH
1.2769 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.8013 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1561 VEF

2016 TJS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 1.2769. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 0.8013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4757 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8569 to the December average rate of 1.2683, the exchange rate registered a net change of 48.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2769 was up 5.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,385 VEF
2015 Average 5,166 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 4,006 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,378.42 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3154
0.7571
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0444, compared to 1.2678 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2234 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0444
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2678

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0993 VEF (High: 0.9048 / Low: 0.8055). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 VEF (High: 1.2674 / Low: 1.2668).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0993
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0526 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0526

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 1.2688) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0095), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2594 (+25.69%).

2016 Avg (July) 1.2688
2015 Avg (July) 1.0095

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9048 0.8055 0.8569
February 0.8065 0.8025 0.8043
March 0.8050 0.8013 0.8036
April 1.2686 1.2670 1.2673
May 1.2674 1.2668 1.2671
June 1.2683 1.2668 1.2673
July 1.2769 1.2679 1.2688
August 1.2699 1.2671 1.2680
September 1.2724 1.2635 1.2673
October 1.2713 1.2646 1.2675
November 1.2672 1.2664 1.2669
December 1.2743 1.2646 1.2683