YEARLY HIGH
3781.3513 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1039.1821 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2484.4133 UGX

2026 TMT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the TMT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 3781.3513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 19, dropping to 1039.1821.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2742.1691 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3568.7811 to the December average rate of 1056.1923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -70.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3781.3513 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 3739.6028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TMT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,906,756 UGX
2025 Average 18,007,862 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,195,911 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,710,845.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3995.9718
788.9396
JanuMarcMayJuly

TMT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2722.4501, compared to 1056.1923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1666.2578 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2722.4501
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1056.1923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 2694.9310 UGX (High: 3756.0608 / Low: 1061.1298). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.4571 UGX (High: 1077.7392 / Low: 1066.2821).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2694.9310
May Spread (Stable) ±11.4571

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2262.4622 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2262.4622

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3728.7191) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3665.7070), the exchange rate shifted by +63.0121 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 3728.7191
2025 Avg (March) 3665.7070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3626.2966 3457.9491 3568.7811
February 3603.6870 3529.1144 3564.9595
March 3781.3513 3599.1395 3728.7191
April 3756.0608 1061.1298 3337.1979
May 1077.7392 1066.2821 1074.7358
June 1077.1112 1039.1821 1060.3073
July 1077.3736 1040.4109 1056.1923