YEARLY HIGH
12.5595 ETB
YEARLY LOW
11.7929 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.1778 ETB

2018 TOP to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 12.5595. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 3, dropping to 11.7929.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7666 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.2175 to the December average rate of 12.3828, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 12.5595 was up 2.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 12.2468, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,797 ETB
2017 Average 52,917 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 58,965 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,832.81 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

12.4719
11.8594
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.2628, compared to 12.0927 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1701 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.2628
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.0927

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.4442 ETB (High: 12.4176 / Low: 11.9734). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1122 ETB (High: 12.0124 / Low: 11.9001).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4442
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1122

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2061 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 12.3828) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.9580), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4248 (+3.55%).

2018 Avg (December) 12.3828
2017 Avg (December) 11.9580

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.4564 12.0674 12.2175
February 12.5147 12.3382 12.4209
March 12.4619 12.2478 12.3683
April 12.4710 12.1824 12.3578
May 12.4176 11.9734 12.1517
June 12.1373 11.9599 12.0607
July 12.0160 11.7929 11.9105
August 12.0124 11.9001 11.9625
September 12.1011 11.9175 12.0011
October 12.1951 11.9705 12.0954
November 12.2769 12.0892 12.2041
December 12.5595 12.2362 12.3828