2016 TOP to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6236.9002 IDR

YEARLY LOW

5728.7597 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

5908.6750 IDR

2016 TOP to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 6236.9002. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 5728.7597.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 508.1406 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6149.2821 to the December average rate of 5889.1324, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6236.9002 was down 8.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 6811.9671, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,184,501 IDR

2015 Average 31,600,876 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 28,643,798 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,540,702.89 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6185.1205

5755.0593

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5959.2198, compared to 5858.1303 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 101.0895 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5959.2198

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5858.1303

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 262.3567 IDR (High: 6025.3499 / Low: 5762.9932). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 119.6762 IDR (High: 5897.6889 / Low: 5778.0127).

November Spread (Volatile) ±262.3567

August Spread (Stable) ±119.6762

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 209.9860 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -209.9860

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6149.2821) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6343.7570), the exchange rate shifted by -194.4749 (-3.07%).

2016 Avg (January) 6149.2821

2015 Avg (January) 6343.7570

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6236.9002	5998.5536	6149.2821
February	6077.7589	5823.7047	5939.2961
March	5936.9720	5775.2562	5843.5452
April	5977.9588	5854.9478	5909.6559
May	6021.0211	5895.8513	5962.8751
June	6070.9656	5828.4221	5950.6643
July	5855.0773	5728.7597	5790.8977
August	5897.6889	5778.0127	5825.3549
September	5906.4792	5760.5781	5834.6926
October	5908.6371	5770.2224	5860.5527
November	6025.3499	5762.9932	5948.1514
December	6033.3609	5773.5584	5889.1324