YEARLY HIGH
7.6709 MDL
YEARLY LOW
7.1286 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.3952 MDL

2018 TOP to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TOP to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 7.6709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 7.1286.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5423 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5425 to the December average rate of 7.5421, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.6709 was down 13.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.9177, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,354 MDL
2017 Average 40,708 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 35,643 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,711.31 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.5770
7.1639
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.4452, compared to 7.3452 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.4452
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.3452

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.2970 MDL (High: 7.4922 / Low: 7.1952). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1080 MDL (High: 7.3207 / Low: 7.2128).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2970
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1080

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1646 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1646

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 7.5421) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.5084), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0336 (+0.45%).

2018 Avg (December) 7.5421
2017 Avg (December) 7.5084

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.6233 7.4521 7.5425
February 7.6564 7.4678 7.5310
March 7.5335 7.3737 7.4525
April 7.5011 7.3123 7.3970
May 7.4922 7.1952 7.3650
June 7.4428 7.3251 7.3833
July 7.3276 7.1286 7.2187
August 7.2728 7.1420 7.1983
September 7.3207 7.2128 7.2740
October 7.4575 7.3206 7.3796
November 7.5186 7.4033 7.4584
December 7.6709 7.4537 7.5421