YEARLY HIGH
4.5799 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2.7030 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0271 VEF

2016 TOP to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 4.5799. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 2.7030.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8769 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8020 to the December average rate of 4.3853, the exchange rate registered a net change of 56.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.5799 was up 42.88% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.2055, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,899 VEF
2015 Average 14,933 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 13,515 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,384.42 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.6613
2.6053
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6220, compared to 4.4322 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8102 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6220
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4322

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2220 VEF (High: 4.5799 / Low: 4.3578). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0426 VEF (High: 4.4613 / Low: 4.4187).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2220
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0426

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0716 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0716

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 4.4569) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.8414), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6155 (+56.86%).

2016 Avg (November) 4.4569
2015 Avg (November) 2.8414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8294 2.7528 2.8020
February 2.8162 2.7030 2.7766
March 2.8281 2.7829 2.8069
April 4.5128 4.4442 4.4747
May 4.4886 4.3765 4.4285
June 4.5021 4.3676 4.4433
July 4.4612 4.3505 4.4079
August 4.4439 4.3936 4.4171
September 4.4613 4.4187 4.4363
October 4.5253 4.4304 4.4899
November 4.5799 4.3578 4.4569
December 4.4594 4.2880 4.3853