YEARLY HIGH
0.3300 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.2833 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3079 BAM

2019 TRY to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 12, valuing the pair at 0.3300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 0.2833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0466 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3195 to the December average rate of 0.3006, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3300 was down 24.40% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4364, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,498 BAM
2018 Average 17,559 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 14,167 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,331.65 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3304
0.2859
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3085, compared to 0.3073 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3085
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3073

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 0.0233 BAM (High: 0.3157 / Low: 0.2924). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 BAM (High: 0.3103 / Low: 0.3054).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0233
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0140 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 0.3267) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4183), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0916 (-21.90%).

2019 Avg (February) 0.3267
2018 Avg (February) 0.4183

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3298 0.3094 0.3195
February 0.3300 0.3206 0.3267
March 0.3223 0.2998 0.3155
April 0.3157 0.2924 0.3015
May 0.3006 0.2833 0.2896
June 0.3043 0.2944 0.2980
July 0.3156 0.3024 0.3075
August 0.3184 0.2985 0.3113
September 0.3176 0.3034 0.3109
October 0.3132 0.2989 0.3055
November 0.3103 0.3054 0.3081
December 0.3095 0.2928 0.3006