YEARLY HIGH
432.6158 CDF
YEARLY LOW
234.3543 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
345.1393 CDF

2018 TRY to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 432.6158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 234.3543.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 198.2615 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 424.6047 to the December average rate of 306.1307, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 432.6158 was down 7.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 468.5380, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,630,792 CDF
2017 Average 20,029,318 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 11,717,715 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,913,076.13 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

442.1540
242.5763
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 396.1951, compared to 294.0835 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 102.1115 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 396.1951
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 294.0835

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 92.5527 CDF (High: 326.9070 / Low: 234.3543). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.8641 CDF (High: 310.6402 / Low: 298.7760).

August Spread (Volatile) ±92.5527
December Spread (Stable) ±11.8641

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 63.4623 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -63.4623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 425.5225) against the same month in 2017 (average: 347.6566), the exchange rate shifted by +77.8660 (+22.40%).

2018 Avg (February) 425.5225
2017 Avg (February) 347.6566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 430.8526 412.1312 424.6047
February 432.6158 418.6801 425.5225
March 426.5592 402.2952 415.5067
April 408.5338 389.8446 397.5300
May 392.9635 339.2917 365.1383
June 361.0997 340.1297 348.8682
July 353.5804 322.5978 339.7246
August 326.9070 234.3543 276.2623
September 271.9662 246.5322 259.2078
October 296.9731 264.1795 280.3290
November 314.7167 294.4211 302.8469
December 310.6402 298.7760 306.1307