YEARLY HIGH
4.7400 EGP
YEARLY LOW
2.5770 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7950 EGP

2018 TRY to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 4.7400. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 2.5770.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1630 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6941 to the December average rate of 3.3727, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.7400 was down 8.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.1834, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 237,002 EGP
2017 Average 244,887 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 128,851 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 108,150.89 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.8800
2.6491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3538, compared to 3.2361 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1178 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3538
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2361

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.0117 EGP (High: 3.5887 / Low: 2.5770). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1022 EGP (High: 4.7250 / Low: 4.6228).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0117
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7142 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.6941) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9792), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2851 (-5.73%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.6941
2017 Avg (January) 4.9792

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7400 4.6136 4.6941
February 4.7250 4.6228 4.6683
March 4.6387 4.3962 4.5288
April 4.4529 4.2615 4.3498
May 4.3286 3.7662 4.0226
June 3.9911 3.7649 3.8594
July 3.9097 3.6329 3.7502
August 3.5887 2.5770 3.0360
September 2.9817 2.6880 2.8350
October 3.2729 2.8913 3.0832
November 3.4640 3.2416 3.3392
December 3.4388 3.3238 3.3727