YEARLY HIGH
5.4838 ETB
YEARLY LOW
4.6833 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1466 ETB

2019 TRY to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 5.4838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 4.6833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8005 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2928 to the December average rate of 5.3750, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.4838 was down 25.69% compared to the 2018 peak of 7.3800, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274,189 ETB
2018 Average 294,436 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 234,165 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,023.31 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.4605
4.7231
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1084, compared to 5.1847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0763 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1084
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 0.4002 ETB (High: 5.2024 / Low: 4.8022). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1615 ETB (High: 5.4838 / Low: 5.3223).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4002
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1615

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2183 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 5.3990) against the same month in 2018 (average: 7.2655), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8665 (-25.69%).

2019 Avg (February) 5.3990
2018 Avg (February) 7.2655

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4357 5.1038 5.2928
February 5.4838 5.3223 5.3990
March 5.3330 4.9443 5.2065
April 5.2024 4.8022 4.9882
May 4.9828 4.6833 4.7845
June 5.0673 4.9011 4.9795
July 5.2253 4.9863 5.1085
August 5.2962 4.9372 5.1656
September 5.2185 5.0184 5.1453
October 5.1872 4.9493 5.1019
November 5.3250 5.1205 5.2121
December 5.4649 5.2650 5.3750