YEARLY HIGH
6.3441 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.4597 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0931 HNL

2018 TRY to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 6.3441. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 3.4597.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8843 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2659 to the December average rate of 4.5696, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.3441 was down 7.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.8862, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 317,203 HNL
2017 Average 322,212 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 172,986 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 144,216.96 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.5113
3.5671
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8253, compared to 4.3608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4645 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8253
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.3590 HNL (High: 4.8187 / Low: 3.4597). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1463 HNL (High: 6.3441 / Low: 6.1977).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.3590
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1463

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9497 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9497

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.2659) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.2429), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0230 (+0.37%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.2659
2017 Avg (January) 6.2429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.3441 6.1977 6.2659
February 6.3266 6.1506 6.2351
March 6.2154 5.8923 6.0709
April 5.9788 5.7138 5.8271
May 5.7614 5.0160 5.3753
June 5.3564 5.0504 5.1777
July 5.2577 4.8788 5.0281
August 4.8187 3.4597 4.0784
September 4.0048 3.6130 3.8124
October 4.4024 3.8919 4.1467
November 4.7172 4.3805 4.5294
December 4.7102 4.2450 4.5696