YEARLY HIGH
68.9369 HUF
YEARLY LOW
40.7573 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
57.2112 HUF

2018 TRY to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 68.9369. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 40.7573.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.1796 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 67.1895 to the December average rate of 53.4077, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 68.9369 was down 17.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 83.4406, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,446,843 HUF
2017 Average 3,763,388 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 2,037,866 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,408,977.69 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

69.4900
41.8845
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 63.6312, compared to 50.7912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.8401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 63.6312
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.7912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 14.4542 HUF (High: 55.2115 / Low: 40.7573). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7456 HUF (High: 67.6945 / Low: 65.9488).

August Spread (Volatile) ±14.4542
February Spread (Stable) ±1.7456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 10.6884 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.6884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 67.1895) against the same month in 2017 (average: 77.7101), the exchange rate shifted by -10.5206 (-13.54%).

2018 Avg (January) 67.1895
2017 Avg (January) 77.7101

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 68.9369 65.8572 67.1895
February 67.6945 65.9488 66.6980
March 67.1030 63.2304 65.0626
April 64.1595 60.7671 62.5338
May 63.7129 57.2597 60.5787
June 61.8686 58.2604 59.7249
July 61.4295 55.7387 58.1916
August 55.2115 40.7573 47.5032
September 46.2816 42.3635 44.1849
October 52.2835 45.5207 48.5655
November 54.9609 51.2534 52.8941
December 54.9143 52.9374 53.4077