YEARLY HIGH
3.3077 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.8823 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0877 MDL

2019 TRY to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 3.3077. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.8823.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4254 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1953 to the December average rate of 2.9475, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.3077 was down 27.90% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.5873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 165,384 MDL
2018 Average 178,815 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 144,114 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,270.27 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.2695
2.9182
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1189, compared to 3.0564 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0625 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1189
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0564

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 0.2234 MDL (High: 3.1218 / Low: 2.8985). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0646 MDL (High: 3.0760 / Low: 3.0114).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2234
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0646

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1078 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1078

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.1953) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.4944), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2990 (-28.90%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.1953
2018 Avg (January) 4.4944

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3077 3.1019 3.1953
February 3.2872 3.2029 3.2403
March 3.2114 2.9905 3.1325
April 3.1422 2.9860 3.0571
May 3.1218 2.8985 2.9711
June 3.1709 3.0777 3.1173
July 3.2033 3.0602 3.1221
August 3.2090 3.0252 3.1216
September 3.1441 3.0435 3.0996
October 3.1102 2.9378 3.0144
November 3.0760 3.0114 3.0333
December 3.0396 2.8823 2.9475