YEARLY HIGH
13.6950 MKD
YEARLY LOW
7.7703 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.0745 MKD

2018 TRY to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 13.6950. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 7.7703.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9247 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.3862 to the December average rate of 10.1885, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.6950 was down 17.44% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.5873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 684,749 MKD
2017 Average 749,826 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 388,516 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 296,232.70 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.8870
7.8772
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.4809, compared to 9.6682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8127 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.4809
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 2.8216 MKD (High: 10.5919 / Low: 7.7703). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2096 MKD (High: 13.2801 / Low: 13.0705).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.8216
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.9811 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9811

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 13.3862) against the same month in 2017 (average: 15.4787), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0925 (-13.52%).

2018 Avg (January) 13.3862
2017 Avg (January) 15.4787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.6950 13.1307 13.3862
February 13.2801 13.0705 13.1784
March 13.1728 12.4606 12.8283
April 12.6246 12.0345 12.3527
May 12.4167 11.0454 11.7748
June 11.6869 10.9750 11.3649
July 11.4814 10.7094 11.0466
August 10.5919 7.7703 9.0655
September 8.8062 7.9786 8.3780
October 9.8904 8.6430 9.2315
November 10.5497 9.7571 10.0990
December 10.4950 10.0845 10.1885