YEARLY HIGH
1.4279 RON
YEARLY LOW
1.1900 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3452 RON

2016 TRY to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.4279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 1.1900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2379 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3899 to the December average rate of 1.2238, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4279 was down 16.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7008, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 71,396 RON
2015 Average 73,875 RON
Yearly Trough Low 59,500 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,895.63 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4088
1.2070
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3796, compared to 1.3108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0688 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3796
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0906 RON (High: 1.4109 / Low: 1.3203). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0163 RON (High: 1.4001 / Low: 1.3838).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0906
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0563 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0563

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.3899) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6508), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2609 (-15.81%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.3899
2015 Avg (January) 1.6508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4279 1.3639 1.3899
February 1.4118 1.3480 1.3708
March 1.4001 1.3838 1.3920
April 1.4060 1.3739 1.3910
May 1.3985 1.3330 1.3537
June 1.4132 1.3674 1.3801
July 1.4109 1.3203 1.3647
August 1.3553 1.3261 1.3441
September 1.3534 1.3192 1.3374
October 1.3441 1.3030 1.3255
November 1.3101 1.2330 1.2693
December 1.2362 1.1900 1.2238