2018 TRY to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.7663 SCR

YEARLY LOW

1.9550 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.9054 SCR

2018 TRY to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 3.7663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 1.9550.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8113 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6895 to the December average rate of 2.5751, the exchange rate registered a net change of -30.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7663 was down 6.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0331, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 188,316 SCR

2017 Average 186,462 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 97,750 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 90,566.13 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8420

2.0115

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3465, compared to 2.4642 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8823 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3465

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4642

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7697 SCR (High: 2.7247 / Low: 1.9550). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0933 SCR (High: 2.6247 / Low: 2.5314).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7697

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0933

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5317 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5317

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.6895) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.5767), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1128 (+3.15%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.6895

2017 Avg (January) 3.5767

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.7663	3.5867	3.6895
February	3.7493	3.5042	3.5969
March	3.7041	3.3558	3.5058
April	3.4548	3.2487	3.3170
May	3.2740	2.8282	3.0509
June	3.0118	2.8560	2.9188
July	2.9615	2.7609	2.8402
August	2.7247	1.9550	2.3085
September	2.3883	2.0431	2.1640
October	2.4897	2.2075	2.3503
November	2.6383	2.4685	2.5472
December	2.6247	2.5314	2.5751