YEARLY HIGH
0.0648 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0544 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0610 BGN

2018 UAH to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 0.0648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 0.0544.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0105 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0563 to the December average rate of 0.0620, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0648 was down 7.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0701, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 324 BGN
2017 Average 326 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 272 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 52.33 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0646
0.0556
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0605, compared to 0.0615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0605
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0039 BGN (High: 0.0632 / Low: 0.0593). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 BGN (High: 0.0601 / Low: 0.0592).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0039
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.0632) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0670), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0038 (-5.71%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.0632
2017 Avg (May) 0.0670

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0580 0.0544 0.0563
February 0.0595 0.0562 0.0583
March 0.0611 0.0592 0.0603
April 0.0617 0.0599 0.0609
May 0.0648 0.0621 0.0632
June 0.0647 0.0633 0.0638
July 0.0641 0.0623 0.0634
August 0.0632 0.0593 0.0616
September 0.0601 0.0592 0.0595
October 0.0614 0.0599 0.0606
November 0.0624 0.0606 0.0616
December 0.0627 0.0610 0.0620