YEARLY HIGH
2.8747 BTN
YEARLY LOW
2.4854 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6308 BTN

2016 UAH to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 2.8747. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 6, dropping to 2.4854.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3893 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7675 to the December average rate of 2.5829, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.8747 was down 28.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.0148, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,374 BTN
2015 Average 14,895 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 12,427 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,946.46 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.7898
2.5223
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6418, compared to 2.6199 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0219 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6418
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6199

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2340 BTN (High: 2.8747 / Low: 2.6407). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0431 BTN (High: 2.7212 / Low: 2.6780).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2340
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0431

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1886 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1886

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.7675) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.9276), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1601 (-29.54%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.7675
2015 Avg (January) 3.9276

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8747 2.6407 2.7675
February 2.6573 2.5164 2.5789
March 2.6496 2.5007 2.5515
April 2.6397 2.5344 2.6008
May 2.6911 2.6192 2.6531
June 2.7345 2.6675 2.6989
July 2.7212 2.6780 2.7074
August 2.6993 2.5699 2.6627
September 2.5988 2.4854 2.5446
October 2.6300 2.5697 2.5944
November 2.6880 2.5874 2.6274
December 2.6742 2.5002 2.5829