YEARLY HIGH
6.8386 DJF
YEARLY LOW
6.1613 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5451 DJF

2018 UAH to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 6.8386. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 6.1613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6773 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2751 to the December average rate of 6.4170, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.8386 was down 3.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.0658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,193 DJF
2017 Average 33,626 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 30,806 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,386.73 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.8359
6.2241
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6465, compared to 6.4438 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2028 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6465
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4438

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.3047 DJF (High: 6.6051 / Low: 6.3004). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0984 DJF (High: 6.3790 / Low: 6.2806).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3047
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0984

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2762 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2762

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 6.7849) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.8588), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0739 (-1.08%).

2018 Avg (June) 6.7849
2017 Avg (June) 6.8588

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4279 6.1613 6.2751
February 6.6559 6.4099 6.5413
March 6.8282 6.5670 6.7319
April 6.8129 6.6760 6.7611
May 6.8359 6.7194 6.7849
June 6.8386 6.7206 6.7849
July 6.7939 6.6290 6.7467
August 6.6051 6.3004 6.4705
September 6.3514 6.2519 6.3160
October 6.3790 6.2806 6.3372
November 6.4645 6.2834 6.3752
December 6.5094 6.2865 6.4170