YEARLY HIGH
4.4015 KES
YEARLY LOW
3.7288 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9753 KES

2016 UAH to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 4.4015. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 3.7288.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6727 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2118 to the December average rate of 3.8885, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4015 was down 24.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.8276, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,007 KES
2015 Average 22,798 KES
Yearly Trough Low 18,644 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,363.58 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.2476
3.8175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9909, compared to 3.9598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0311 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9909
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3950 KES (High: 4.4015 / Low: 4.0065). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0518 KES (High: 4.1001 / Low: 4.0483).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3950
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3584 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3584

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.2118) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.7670), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5553 (-26.97%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.2118
2015 Avg (January) 5.7670

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4015 4.0065 4.2118
February 4.0001 3.7288 3.8534
March 4.0017 3.7417 3.8669
April 4.0166 3.8826 3.9615
May 4.0193 3.9465 3.9945
June 4.0773 4.0203 4.0572
July 4.1001 4.0483 4.0813
August 4.0942 3.8820 4.0342
September 3.9281 3.7841 3.8583
October 3.9947 3.9078 3.9399
November 3.9849 3.8908 3.9563
December 3.9788 3.7674 3.8885