YEARLY HIGH
0.1794 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.1480 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1590 RON

2016 UAH to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 0.1794. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 0.1480.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0314 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1716 to the December average rate of 0.1631, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1794 was down 29.25% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2535, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 897 RON
2015 Average 930 RON
Yearly Trough Low 740 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 156.78 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1737
0.1492
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1585, compared to 0.1595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0159 RON (High: 0.1794 / Low: 0.1635). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 RON (High: 0.1643 / Low: 0.1612).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0159
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0191 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0191

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1716) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2436), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0719 (-29.54%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1716
2015 Avg (January) 0.2436

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1794 0.1635 0.1716
February 0.1628 0.1487 0.1526
March 0.1583 0.1492 0.1529
April 0.1573 0.1500 0.1543
May 0.1615 0.1548 0.1579
June 0.1649 0.1586 0.1614
July 0.1643 0.1612 0.1632
August 0.1619 0.1529 0.1583
September 0.1544 0.1480 0.1512
October 0.1615 0.1527 0.1583
November 0.1667 0.1580 0.1625
December 0.1654 0.1583 0.1631