YEARLY HIGH
0.5576 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.4774 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5196 SCR

2016 UAH to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 0.5576. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 20, dropping to 0.4774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0802 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5381 to the December average rate of 0.5095, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5576 was down 38.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9002, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,788 SCR
2015 Average 3,099 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 2,387 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 400.95 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5414
0.5016
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5217, compared to 0.5175 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5217
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5175

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0706 SCR (High: 0.5479 / Low: 0.4774). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0197 SCR (High: 0.5242 / Low: 0.5045).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0706
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0197

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0318 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0318

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.5259) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6011), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0752 (-12.52%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.5259
2015 Avg (April) 0.6011

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5567 0.5197 0.5381
February 0.5479 0.4774 0.5063
March 0.5166 0.4935 0.5065
April 0.5576 0.5040 0.5259
May 0.5489 0.5182 0.5283
June 0.5393 0.5073 0.5252
July 0.5419 0.5095 0.5302
August 0.5418 0.5037 0.5266
September 0.5173 0.4931 0.5050
October 0.5242 0.5045 0.5151
November 0.5253 0.5034 0.5188
December 0.5235 0.4897 0.5095