YEARLY HIGH
6.4142 BYR
YEARLY LOW
5.4643 BYR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8938 BYR

2016 UGX to BYR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to BYR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 6.4142. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 5.4643.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9499 BYR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7607 to the December average rate of 5.5616, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.4142 was up 16.15% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.5223, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,071 BYR
2015 Average 24,600 BYR
Yearly Trough Low 27,322 BYR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,749.62 BYR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.3989
5.4854
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BYR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9851, compared to 5.8026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9851
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8026

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.6651 BYR (High: 6.1294 / Low: 5.4643). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0262 BYR (High: 5.9496 / Low: 5.9234).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6651
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0262

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2122 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2122

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 6.3228) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.2974), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0255 (+19.36%).

2016 Avg (February) 6.3228
2015 Avg (February) 5.2974

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1294 5.4643 5.7607
February 6.4142 6.0934 6.3228
March 6.4051 5.9651 6.1410
April 6.0065 5.7939 5.9433
May 5.8780 5.7681 5.8230
June 5.9885 5.8786 5.9195
July 5.9505 5.8941 5.9275
August 5.9496 5.9234 5.9388
September 5.9435 5.9136 5.9232
October 5.9273 5.7852 5.8384
November 5.7816 5.5192 5.6261
December 5.6368 5.5149 5.5616