2016 UGX to CRC Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1634 CRC

YEARLY LOW

0.1511 CRC

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1591 CRC

2016 UGX to CRC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to CRC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 28, valuing the pair at 0.1634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 29, dropping to 0.1511.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0123 CRC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1556 to the December average rate of 0.1529, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1634 was down 16.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 817 CRC

2015 Average 832 CRC

Yearly Trough Low 756 CRC

Transaction Impact: A difference of 61.44 CRC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1639

0.1519

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to CRC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1588, compared to 0.1594 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1588

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1594

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0080 CRC (High: 0.1591 / Low: 0.1511). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 CRC (High: 0.1633 / Low: 0.1625).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0080

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0057 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.1628) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1506), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0122 (+8.09%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.1628

2015 Avg (August) 0.1506

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1594	0.1536	0.1556
February	0.1595	0.1547	0.1565
March	0.1603	0.1582	0.1590
April	0.1617	0.1587	0.1602
May	0.1621	0.1581	0.1604
June	0.1623	0.1597	0.1612
July	0.1623	0.1605	0.1617
August	0.1634	0.1620	0.1628
September	0.1633	0.1625	0.1629
October	0.1627	0.1592	0.1609
November	0.1591	0.1511	0.1552
December	0.1550	0.1513	0.1529