YEARLY HIGH
0.0860 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.0787 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0824 HUF

2016 UGX to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.0860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 7, dropping to 0.0787.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0073 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0840 to the December average rate of 0.0822, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0860 was down 14.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 430 HUF
2015 Average 434 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 393 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36.43 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0844
0.0800
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0828, compared to 0.0819 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0828
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0819

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0052 HUF (High: 0.0848 / Low: 0.0796). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 HUF (High: 0.0831 / Low: 0.0812).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0052
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0840) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0953), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0113 (-11.86%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0840
2015 Avg (January) 0.0953

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0860 0.0825 0.0840
February 0.0848 0.0796 0.0815
March 0.0855 0.0817 0.0831
April 0.0836 0.0815 0.0822
May 0.0841 0.0815 0.0833
June 0.0848 0.0815 0.0830
July 0.0849 0.0826 0.0841
August 0.0831 0.0812 0.0821
September 0.0824 0.0805 0.0814
October 0.0824 0.0798 0.0811
November 0.0813 0.0787 0.0804
December 0.0840 0.0804 0.0822