YEARLY HIGH
3.0014 KHR
YEARLY LOW
1.0417 KHR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0925 KHR

2018 UGX to KHR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to KHR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 3.0014. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 1.0417.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9596 KHR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1108 to the December average rate of 1.0844, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.0014 was up 161.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1457, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,007 KHR
2017 Average 5,610 KHR
Yearly Trough Low 5,209 KHR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,798.16 KHR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.1502
1.0524
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KHR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0918, compared to 1.0932 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0918
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0932

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 1.9327 KHR (High: 3.0014 / Low: 1.0687). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 KHR (High: 1.0897 / Low: 1.0771).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.9327
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0632 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0632

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.1421) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.1264), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0157 (+1.40%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.1421
2017 Avg (September) 1.1264

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1251 1.0941 1.1108
February 1.1148 1.0954 1.1063
March 1.1106 1.0795 1.0928
April 1.0975 1.0730 1.0889
May 1.0965 1.0809 1.0913
June 1.0828 1.0417 1.0605
July 1.0980 1.0445 1.0807
August 1.1057 1.0817 1.0914
September 3.0014 1.0687 1.1421
October 1.0855 1.0680 1.0788
November 1.0931 1.0744 1.0820
December 1.0897 1.0771 1.0844