YEARLY HIGH
0.2720 KPW
YEARLY LOW
0.2478 KPW
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2635 KPW

2016 UGX to KPW Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to KPW exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 0.2720. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.2478.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0242 KPW. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2613 to the December average rate of 0.2499, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2720 was down 16.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3240, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,360 KPW
2015 Average 1,401 KPW
Yearly Trough Low 1,239 KPW
Transaction Impact: A difference of 121.05 KPW purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2712
0.2480
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KPW Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2662, compared to 0.2608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0055 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2662
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0117 KPW (High: 0.2598 / Low: 0.2481). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 KPW (High: 0.2674 / Low: 0.2662).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0117
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0096 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.2693) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3007), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0314 (-10.43%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.2693
2015 Avg (April) 0.3007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2664 0.2585 0.2613
February 0.2683 0.2588 0.2626
March 0.2694 0.2666 0.2677
April 0.2720 0.2670 0.2693
May 0.2713 0.2658 0.2691
June 0.2690 0.2638 0.2675
July 0.2674 0.2648 0.2663
August 0.2674 0.2662 0.2669
September 0.2671 0.2658 0.2662
October 0.2664 0.2600 0.2624
November 0.2598 0.2481 0.2528
December 0.2533 0.2478 0.2499