YEARLY HIGH
0.1108 KZT
YEARLY LOW
0.0917 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1001 KZT

2016 UGX to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.1108. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0917.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0191 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1052 to the December average rate of 0.0929, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1108 was up 8.50% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1021, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 554 KZT
2015 Average 341 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 459 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 95.29 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1064
0.0916
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1021, compared to 0.0981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0102 KZT (High: 0.1108 / Low: 0.1006). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 KZT (High: 0.1002 / Low: 0.0985).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0102
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0034 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1052) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0645), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0407 (+63.08%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1052
2015 Avg (January) 0.0645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1108 0.1006 0.1052
February 0.1073 0.1023 0.1045
March 0.1042 0.1021 0.1027
April 0.1025 0.0986 0.1009
May 0.1002 0.0985 0.0994
June 0.1011 0.0991 0.1001
July 0.1047 0.0991 0.1011
August 0.1049 0.1005 0.1020
September 0.1019 0.0992 0.1003
October 0.0991 0.0958 0.0969
November 0.0973 0.0928 0.0955
December 0.0939 0.0917 0.0929