2011 UGX to MGA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9285 MGA

YEARLY LOW

0.6911 MGA

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8047 MGA

2011 UGX to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.9285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.6911.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2375 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8982 to the December average rate of 0.8737, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.9285 was down 15.26% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.0958, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,643 MGA

2010 Average 4,820 MGA

Yearly Trough Low 3,455 MGA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,187.31 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.9169

0.6927

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8396, compared to 0.7698 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0698 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8396

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7698

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.1109 MGA (High: 0.8131 / Low: 0.7022). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0171 MGA (High: 0.8283 / Low: 0.8113).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1109

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0171

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0447 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0447

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.8982) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.0482), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1500 (-14.31%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.8982

2010 Avg (January) 1.0482

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9285	0.8678	0.8982
February	0.8864	0.8431	0.8608
March	0.8486	0.8262	0.8360
April	0.8454	0.8170	0.8304
May	0.8283	0.8113	0.8207
June	0.8160	0.7293	0.7918
July	0.7691	0.7481	0.7561
August	0.7552	0.6914	0.7114
September	0.7288	0.6911	0.7128
October	0.8131	0.7022	0.7475
November	0.8404	0.8009	0.8174
December	0.9147	0.8215	0.8737