2011 UGX to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0035 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.0028 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0032 MOP

2011 UGX to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.0035. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.0028.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0007 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0034 to the December average rate of 0.0033, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0035 was down 16.50% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18 MOP

2010 Average 18 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 14 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.63 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0035

0.0028

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0034, compared to 0.0030 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0034

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0030

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0004 MOP (High: 0.0034 / Low: 0.0030). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MOP (High: 0.0034 / Low: 0.0033).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0034) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0041), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0007 (-16.85%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0034

2010 Avg (January) 0.0041

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0035	0.0033	0.0034
February	0.0035	0.0034	0.0034
March	0.0034	0.0033	0.0033
April	0.0034	0.0034	0.0034
May	0.0034	0.0033	0.0034
June	0.0034	0.0030	0.0033
July	0.0032	0.0031	0.0031
August	0.0031	0.0028	0.0029
September	0.0029	0.0028	0.0029
October	0.0031	0.0028	0.0029
November	0.0032	0.0030	0.0031
December	0.0034	0.0031	0.0033