2016 UGX to MUR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0108 MUR

YEARLY LOW

0.0099 MUR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0104 MUR

2016 UGX to MUR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MUR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.0108. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.0099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0009 MUR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0105 to the December average rate of 0.0100, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0108 was down 14.48% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0126, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54 MUR

2015 Average 55 MUR

Yearly Trough Low 49 MUR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.40 MUR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0106

0.0099

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MUR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0105, compared to 0.0103 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0105

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0103

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0005 MUR (High: 0.0104 / Low: 0.0099). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MUR (High: 0.0105 / Low: 0.0104).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0106) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0121), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0015 (-12.57%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0106

2015 Avg (March) 0.0121

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0106	0.0104	0.0105
February	0.0107	0.0103	0.0104
March	0.0108	0.0105	0.0106
April	0.0106	0.0104	0.0105
May	0.0106	0.0104	0.0105
June	0.0106	0.0104	0.0105
July	0.0105	0.0104	0.0105
August	0.0105	0.0103	0.0104
September	0.0105	0.0104	0.0104
October	0.0105	0.0103	0.0104
November	0.0104	0.0099	0.0101
December	0.0101	0.0099	0.0100