2016 UGX to MWK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2235 MWK

YEARLY LOW

0.1942 MWK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2079 MWK

2016 UGX to MWK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MWK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 27, valuing the pair at 0.2235. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.1942.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0293 MWK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2001 to the December average rate of 0.2009, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2235 was up 13.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,117 MWK

2015 Average 769 MWK

Yearly Trough Low 971 MWK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 146.39 MWK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2173

0.1986

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MWK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2076, compared to 0.2082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2076

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0212 MWK (High: 0.2224 / Low: 0.2012). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 MWK (High: 0.2132 / Low: 0.2119).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0212

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0076 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0076

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.2158) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1566), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0592 (+37.80%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.2158

2015 Avg (February) 0.1566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2106	0.1942	0.2001
February	0.2235	0.2064	0.2158
March	0.2224	0.2012	0.2082
April	0.2072	0.2011	0.2038
May	0.2106	0.2048	0.2082
June	0.2122	0.2068	0.2098
July	0.2127	0.2081	0.2112
August	0.2136	0.2113	0.2130
September	0.2132	0.2119	0.2126
October	0.2123	0.2066	0.2094
November	0.2071	0.1987	0.2021
December	0.2033	0.1978	0.2009