2016 UGX to MZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0232 MZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0129 MZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0183 MZN

2016 UGX to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 3, valuing the pair at 0.0232. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.0129.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0103 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0134 to the December average rate of 0.0202, the exchange rate registered a net change of 50.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0232 was up 49.41% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 116 MZN

2015 Average 60 MZN

Yearly Trough Low 65 MZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51.44 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0236

0.0125

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0154, compared to 0.0212 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0154

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0212

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0017 MZN (High: 0.0223 / Low: 0.0205). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 MZN (High: 0.0206 / Low: 0.0197).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0017

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 0.0226) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0117), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0109 (+93.71%).

2016 Avg (October) 0.0226

2015 Avg (October) 0.0117

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0141	0.0129	0.0134
February	0.0144	0.0129	0.0141
March	0.0152	0.0142	0.0149
April	0.0160	0.0150	0.0156
May	0.0170	0.0161	0.0164
June	0.0187	0.0173	0.0180
July	0.0203	0.0187	0.0194
August	0.0216	0.0203	0.0210
September	0.0229	0.0216	0.0224
October	0.0232	0.0222	0.0226
November	0.0223	0.0205	0.0214
December	0.0206	0.0197	0.0202