2011 UGX to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0687 NGN

YEARLY LOW

0.0529 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0620 NGN

2011 UGX to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.0687. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 0.0529.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0158 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0655 to the December average rate of 0.0663, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0687 was down 12.55% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0786, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 344 NGN

2010 Average 348 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 264 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 79.14 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0674

0.0544

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0649, compared to 0.0592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0649

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0079 NGN (High: 0.0653 / Low: 0.0575). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 NGN (High: 0.0658 / Low: 0.0649).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0079

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0047 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0047

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0663) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0662), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+0.09%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0663

2010 Avg (December) 0.0662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0666	0.0637	0.0655
February	0.0661	0.0643	0.0651
March	0.0653	0.0643	0.0647
April	0.0667	0.0644	0.0652
May	0.0658	0.0649	0.0653
June	0.0653	0.0575	0.0636
July	0.0602	0.0581	0.0588
August	0.0585	0.0529	0.0558
September	0.0565	0.0546	0.0555
October	0.0620	0.0556	0.0572
November	0.0636	0.0596	0.0616
December	0.0687	0.0632	0.0663